Saturday, February 22, 2003

Not an Update, Just an I-told-you-so

Law enforcement agencies are warning about loner terrorists:
The possibility of war with Iraq could unleash acts of anti-American violence in the United States or overseas by individual extremists who do not belong to Al Qaeda or other Middle Eastern terrorist groups but sympathize with their grievances, intelligence and law enforcement officials say.

A classified F.B.I. intelligence bulletin, issued on Wednesday to state and local law enforcement agencies throughout the country, warned the authorities to be on the alert for lone terrorists who are not directed by organizations like Al Qaeda.
I said the same thing nine months ago.
Suicide bombs (or suicide gunmen) are the perfect warrior for small groups, or for individuals inspired by terrorist leaders. If one Muslim carries out a shooting or bomb attack, expect copycats to start happening, pronto. This is a situation that will snowball if it ever starts.

It's also pretty much unavoidable, it's going to happen at some point.

(note that I wrote this a month before Hesham Mohammed Hadayet's attack on the El Al counter at LAX). The upside: I was wrong about the snowball effect. At least, so far I've been wrong. I hope Muslims realize if there is a sustained campaign of low-level violence by American Muslims that it will have extremely negative consequences on their community as a whole.

I'll go out on a limb here and make a second prediction: if there is another terror attack by a loner American Muslim, there are pretty good odds he will be a college student.

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